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(100 People Likes) How are traders’ inflation expectations measured?
If you synthesize your own inflation bond using some odds and ends from currencies or bonds or converters or CDS swaps or interest rate derivatives (and probably a variety of other underlying assets) it’s one of the most liquid and most arbitrated commodities in the world Way to measure inflation (and the easiest way to trade it) Try this: Click this link https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages /TextView. aspx?data=yield and compare the 7/21 price for the 7-year Daily Treasury Yield Curve Rate of 2.05% to the Daily Treasury Real Yield Curve Rate for the same 7-year note. 0.34%. The first rate is the nominal rate that investors receive for their 7-year investments. You get 2.05% – no less and no more. The second (“Real Yield Curve Rat sex doll 130cm ‘) is the interest rate investors receive for ‘Inflation Protected Securities’. So you get 0.34% PLUS: a payment for inflation (based on the CPI index). So theoretically, the difference between the two is investors’ expected annual inflation for those 7 years. (1.71% per year) If you disagree, the market offers you 100x leverage on every basis point that you do not share with the market. If you’re smarter, you can make a lot of money (be sure to check out David Enrich’s The Spider Network if you want to get a feel for how much money you can make).
(21 Likes) Are national debts interest-free?
Fault. Right now, investors are effectively paying the US government to use their money. And it’s not a theoretical concept, the US Treasury Department issues Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (aka “TIPS”) that are actively traded in the market. Interest on a TIPS bond = nominal interest rate + inflation (CPI index) Investors are currently buying TIPS bonds at -1.08%[1] . That’s not a typo! Investors buy an instrument with a NEGATIVE INTEREST RATE (and this is not a thinly traded security, there is currently $1.2 trillion notionally trading – about 9% of all government debt[2] So not only is US debt interest-free, but investors are also willing to pay the US Treasury so they can invest their money in bonds. So I would respectfully critique Cam Prentice’s answer (which is very good btw) by saying: Investors are paying the UST for investing in its securities in exchange for the UST promising to pay that investor an amount for the same period to be paid at the rate of inflation (as represented by the CPI). As an aside, this security offers investors a great opportunity to bet on inflation. Here’s how (using quotes from Treasury.gov
[math]Expected Inflation = Nominal Interest Rate – TIPS Interest Rate[/math]
Nominal 10Y on 09/21/20 = 0.68%[3]
TIPS 10Y on 9/21/20 = -1.08% So: 0.68% – (1.08%) = 1.76% In other words, the market expects inflation to be around 1.76%. So the next time you hear forecasters sounding the alarm about impending doom or hyperinflation being caused by spending policies – ask, if they’re so sure, why aren’t they “buying inflation” (essentially buying the TIPS and short the nominal rate) You can make multiples of your money if inflation moves a fraction of ap
(91 People Likes) Will I be unfaithful if I buy a (good) sex doll? woman too sick for sex. I have no intention of telling her I bought the doll. Or should I? My wife has physical and mental issues that mean sex is definitely NO. PLEASE don’t ask.
Eventually SOMEONE will find it, maybe after you die… is that how you want to be remembered? As a joke that was scolded at family gatherings? Your old ass pounding a 3D cartoon toy? Kind of gross, dude. Wouldn’t it be hilarious if you suffered a stroke or cardiac arrest while banging on that creepy thing? One of the paramedics would sneak a photo and upload it to 4chan to make you famous. how much does your wife love you How clueless is she? If you take care of her, meaning she’s okay, and she’s “too sick” to suck your cock even once a month, then you’re ethically and morally allowed to take a mistress. It’s child’s play. The only rule concerning a mistress is that your wife and family are never disrespected because of it. Your wife must always come first. Your mistress must never speak ill of her. You should avoid appearing with your mistress in public places where friends of your wife might spot you and spread hurtful rumours. And most importantly, don’t put a short-term lover in your will to the detriment of your children. You are entitled to a mistress. If you think your wife would be understanding, perhaps you could arrange for her to become your wife’s caretaker and friend. If you think your wife would not be okay with this, she needs to be protected from this knowledge and not question where you are going when you go or hear fibs for her own good… just never be selfish and indulge himself overnights because that’s just too suspicious. It’s OK. You are allowed to do this. It’s not wrong in any way. But for your own protection, be sure to choose someone your own age who you know will be discreet and trustworthy. Statistically, if you pick a much younger woman, especially one that you don’t know well, especially if she’s a 1st generation immigrant sex doll 130cm But you will have a bad day: lying, demands for money, theft, identity theft, harassment, blackmail, extortion, physical abuse, even murder of you and your wife… there are many women who claim to be looking for a “sugar daddy” even though they are actually a black widow intent on taking everything you have by any means necessary. You don’t need or want a 20 year old gymnast who looks like a model…she HATES you and me
(49 People Likes) Will sex doll brothels be defeated by the real sex labor market?
perfect, with a body to match, it won’t be the same as havin sex doll 130cm Sex with real doll and man. Once that happens, you might as well have sex with a human (because you would still have to get consent). So
(39 People Likes) Does a sex doll simulate reality well?
r may contain sensitive images. Click on an image to blur it. Realistic sex doll > I think it’s Gynoid brand. The dolls they make are of high quality and look just like real people. The skin texture is very realistic and the dolls are also very beautiful. The price is relatively more expensive than other bras
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